Coface will always return the stock market, not timing

Coface, which last year refocused its activities on credit insurance, reiterated Tuesday his intention to return when the stock market but market conditions have improved.

Jean-Marc Pillu, the CEO of a subsidiary of Natixis, declined to say how soon the Coface, deregistration in 2002, envisioned a new IPO nor how much capital will be offered to investors.

"The track is always the same, this is the IPO as soon as conditions permit," he said at a news conference.

"The internal conditions are met to be placed on the market," he added. "After the second condition, it is the markets (financial, Ed). We will wait quietly, serenely they allow us to do this. "

Asked about refocusing on the Coface credit insurance ; said, he explained that the company had isolated a structure apart and owned by its parent non-core businesses it intends to transfer …

…… "These activities were in a separate structure, as Natixis, well insulated (…) but remain under the responsibility of the Directorate General of Coface at the operational level, "said Jean-Marc Pillu. 

He also said that except for the German and Polish markets, factoring activities were managed for their extinction ("run off"), that is to say, they are intended to be phased out.

Due to the reorganization of its business, Coface has subsequently passed in its 2011 accounts for 49 million euros in restructuring charges after taxes.

Its CEO also said the company had raised 1.1 billion euros of financing for factoring after signing a contract with four banks of securitization.

"We are most indebted of all, we paid all our debts in the long run. I speak of parent company debt, "said Jean-Marc Pillu

. Returning to the proposed creation of a rating agency Europé ; enemies, envisaged a time before finally being abandoned in early 2011, the CEO of Coface said that the business of insurance credit scoring and no pre ; felt no synergies between them

. "It's not all the same job," he insisted .. …….

Wall Street upbeat on the economy, employment will be watching

Since the beginning of the year, the U.S. equity markets have confounded the pessimists, and employment figures of February in the U.S., expected in late week, could well justify a continued rise.

The 'rally' stock in recent months has been built on a series of economic indicators improving, which suggest that growth in U.S. corporate earnings remain intact, analysts said.

But some strategists warn against a downward trend, while the main New York indexes have reached key thresholds and that the publication of results for the fourth quarter draws to a close.

The Standard & Poor's 500 rose in eight of nine weeks past. During the past week, the Dow finished above 13,000 points for the first time since May 2008, and the S & P 500 closed twice over resistance threshold of 1,370 points.

The Nasdaq composite crossed the threshold of its side of the 3,000 points and is trading around its highest level since 2000.

Some believe that Wall Street could continue to rise thanks to new macroeconomic indicators considered solid.

"The question is: 'Are we witnessing a sustained improvement in the economy?' I think the answer is yes, and that the rally will continue somewhat, "says Bryant Evans, portfolio manager and advisor for Cozad Asset Management, Illinois. 

Detailed figures for February employment in the United States must be published Friday. Economists polled by Reuters expect 210,000 new jobs outside agriculture, against 243,000 the previous month.

This would mark the third consecutive month of job creation. The unemployment rate is meanwhile expected unchanged at 8.3%, its lowest level in three years. To investors, such figures would bring additional proof of a recovery in the U.S. economy.

Growth of gross domestic product (GDP) U.S. has already been revised up to 3.0% annualized in the fourth quarter of 2011, its highest rate , since the second quarter 2010, according to the second estimate published Wednesday by the Commerce Department.

TAKING PROFITS tempting

Now that the second bailout of Greece seems on track and that the earnings season draws to a close, investors are more focused on macroeconomic data.

Rising oil prices, bolstered by the tensions around Iran, however, could darken the horizon. Brent crude is trading above $ 120, an ominous trend when Europe seems to be sliding into recession.

Also in Europe, the first funds of the new aid package to Greece could be paid immediately after the debt swap between Athens and its private creditors s, to be concluded by 9 March.

In any event, investors had gains high enough since the beginning of the year to consider taking profits.

The S & P 500, who finished almost unchanged in 2011, increased by 9% since the beginning of the year. 

U.S. ECONOMY, THE ENGINE RALLY

Health of the U.S. economy now looks up the engine for stock markets, investors wanting to believe that a recovering economy will spur creation of jobs and profits up.

Regarding the fourth quarter, the share of companies exceeding expectations is declining.

A 9.4% quarterly earnings growth is also lower than in previous quarters, but analysts want to believe that the recovery of the U.S. economy will help to avoid settling too brutal. 

"From our perspective, as the employment situation continues to improve, we are on track," said Thomas Villalta, portfolio manager at Austin.

Monday, the ISM services will provide an overview of the activity of tertiary service last month.

The ADP survey on job creation in the private sector in the United States, released Wednesday, will precede the official statistics on Friday.

The G20 will take stock of the resources of the IMF in April

The G20 finance ministers, meeting this weekend in Mexico City, engaging in a statement in April to review progress made in strengthening the resources of International Monetary Fund, said on Saturday from a source of G20.

The source said the draft statement, which must be finalized during meetings scheduled in Mexico this weekend, made loans and bilateral borrowing arrangements options for improve the firepower of the IMF.

"Progress in this strategy will be discussed at the next ministerial meeting in April," the draft communique quoted by the source. These reports were confirmed to Reuters by another official of the G20.

The IMF wants more than double its capacity to respond by raising $ 600 billion of new resources to deal with the consequences of the crisis of sovereign debt within the eurozone. This project creates a reluctance in some countries, foremost among them the United States and Canada.

Mexico, who chairs the G20, has pushed for the issue of IMF resources is discussed along with the initiatives that the Europeans could be taken to resolve the crisis sovereign debt, at the meeting of finance ministers and central bankers this weekend in Mexico City.

Some countries indicated that no discussion on the strengthening of IMF resources could be envisaged as the Europeans have not strengthened their own firewall to stem the debt crisis, an issue they must be discussed at the European Council of March 1 and 2.

The trade deficit the U.S. has widened in December

The U.S. trade deficit widened slightly more than expected in December, the acceleration of growth with increased imports to their highest level in three and a half years.

The figures released Friday by the Commerce Department also show that the trade deficit with China set a new record over the entire 2011 to 295,500,000,000 dollars (224 billion euros) , a figure that could stimulate discussion often strained between Washington and Beijing within days of a high-level meeting between the two countries.

The monthly trade deficit stood at $ 48.8 billion in December, as imports reached their highest level since July 2008, just before the financial crisis do fall world trade. 

Analysts polled by Reuters had expected an average monthly figure of 48.0 billion. The November deficit was revised to $ 47.1 billion against 47.75 billion originally announced.

U.S. exports rose slightly in December (0.7%), but nearly two times less than imports (+1.3%).

For Omer Esiner, strategist at Commonwealth Foreign Exchange in Washington, the slow growth of exports in December could be due to "a fairly soft global demand," a bleak trend.

"Continuous improvement of economic growth here (United States) will result in an increase in imports. But a slowdown in the exports would be a concern: they played a big role in the improvement seen last year, "he says …….

.. The dollar was up against the euro Friday as investors attaching greater importance to the evolution of the debt crisis in the area euro as U.S. data

. CHINA, SENSITIVE PARTNER

Over the whole of 2011, the trade deficit the U.S. has increased from 11.6% to 558.0 billion, a level not seen since 2008 …….

.. Exports rose 14.5%, exceeding for the first time the threshold of 2.100 billion, a growth that leaves the U.S. economy ; Rican on track to achieve the goal set by President Barack Obama, namely a doubling of exports in five years. 

Meanwhile, U.S. imports recorded an increase of 13.8%, to nearly 2700 billion. Foreign car purchases included at their highest level since 2007 and oil imports its highest since 2008.

The average price of imported oil has registered a record high in 2011 to 99.78 dollars a barrel.

Unprecedented deficit with China is expected to fuel the concern expressed by Congress against the policy of the People's Republic, regularly accused maintaining the undervaluation of the currency to help its exporters.

Especially since Barack Obama is scheduled to meet next week the Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping, considered a future issue of the regime. 

U.S. exports to China jumped 13.1% last year to $ 103.9 billion while imports reached 399.3 billion (+9.4%).

China has published its side Friday figures showing a reduction in its current account deficit in 2011, which provide an additional argument to support it seeks to reduce its dependence on external demand.

However, a sharp decline in imports in January coupled with a decline slowed exports resulted in the largest trade surplus for six months.

Trade deficits of the United States with the European Union and Canada have also increased in 2011 to 99.2 billion and 35.6 billion respectively.

Values ​​to follow the Paris Bourse

Values ​​to follow Tuesday at the Paris Bourse. </ P> * VALUE FINANCIAL – EU leaders could seal a final agreement on the second level of support Greece in the coming days, Monday and tried to calm an early debate on a proposed loan to Berlin to Greece Trust budget. </ p> The Prime Minister of Greece Lucas Papademos met after the summit in Brussels with EU officials and European Central Bank to discuss the details of the restructuring plan of Greek debt under negotiation with private creditors.</ P> * INSURANCE – Moody's Investors Service said Tuesday it had raised to stable from negative its outlook for the industry and damage to the French insurers maintained its negative outlook on the sector of 'life insurance. </ p> * CROSSROADS announced Monday the departure of its Executive Director responsible for growth markets, Pierre Bouchut, in which analysts had seen a candidate ; rieux to succeed Lars Olofsson. It Georges Plassat was chosen to succeed the CEO of the distribution group. </ P> * Renault, which owns 25% stake in Russian manufacturer AvtoVAZ, could take control via its alliance with Nissan in the first half of this year, said Monday the news agency RIA Novosti, citing About Sergei Chemezov, the chairman of the holding company Russian Technologies. </ p> * RENAULT and PSA PEUGEOT CITROEN – According to the Tribune, quoting unofficial sources, registrations of new cars have plummeted in January as planned in France, as a result of the context economic and very unfavorable comparison of early 2011, when the effect scrappage was still playing full. </ p> According to La Tribune, Renault fell by 45 %, 37% of Peugeot, Citroen Dacia by 31% and 18%. The two French manufacturers have refused to comment on the figures to be published Wednesday. </ P> * EADS – UBS moves from neutral to buy on the title with a target price raised 22 to 31 euros. </ p> * ACCOR – Nomura resumes coverage value with a recommendation to "reduce" and a target price of 19.50 euros. </ p> < p> * Veolia Environment – Morgan Stanley going to underweight-weight line on the title. </ p> * SOITEC, who had said it expected an operating loss "significant" in 2011-2012, has announced that it would be between 40 and 45 million euros. </ p> * EIFFAGE – JP Morgan goes underweight to neutral on the title.</ P> * NORBERT DENTRESSANGLE reported Monday night of "signs of slowing at the end of the year" in the business of its customers, in a macroeconomic context "showing progressive signs of slowing. "</ p> The group achieved in 2011 a consolidated turnover of 3.576 million euros, up 5.6% at constant exchange rates and like basis. The fourth quarter alone, the change in net sales was 4.2%. </ P> * ALTEN judge earlier this year "reassuring, if not encouraging," despite the depressed economic environment that characterized the end of 2011. "The activity in January remained satisfactory, comparable to last year," said Alten. Of 2011, consolidated sales increased by 14.5% at constant currency and constant perimeter, to 1065.7 million. The fourth quarter alone, growth stood at 12.5%. </ P> * DRY ENVIRONMENT, which in 2011 posted an organic growth of 6% of its sales of Business 424.2 million euros reported in 2012 on a build up its business in line with the last six months "in an uncertain macroeconomic environment." </ p> <p > Regarding the issue of participation in the Saur, including the assumption of an output, the chief financial officer Jean Geissler declined to comment, simply stating that mediation was ongoing. </ p> * ARTPRICE.COM expects a jump in sales this year with the launch of its online auction service, said Monday its CEO Thierry Ehrmann, in an interview with Reuters. </ p>

The Tokyo Stock Exchange finished slightly higher

The Tokyo Stock Exchange ended slightly higher Friday, recovering from the fall of the day in favor of positions suggesting investors anticipate the possibility of a rebound despite the persistence of the debt crisis in Europe

The Nikkei gained 0.16% or 13.67 points to 8,514.47 while the Topix, larger yielded 1.17 points (-0.16%) to 729.13.

On the whole a week marked by a deepening debt crisis with the record level by the Italian sovereign bond yield, the two indices lost 3.3% and 3%.

Title Olympus finished down 4.96% to 460 yen after a volatile session.

Papandreou resigned as soon as agreement is signed, said an elected

To believe an important elected PASOK in power, Prime Minister George Papandreou resigned after agreement on a transitional government will be concluded in Greece, possibly as early as Sunday evening.

Objectives, duration and the choice of the directing personality similar government must be acquired before the start of the power of the current prime minister, said on national television MP Telemachos Hitiris.

"Just wait for the announcement of the (selection) Prime Minister in the cabinet. Everything must be done in the day, otherwise it will be hell tomorrow," he warned.

The unemployment rate reached 21.5% in Q3 in Spain

Unemployment in Spain jumped to 21.5% in the third quarter, against 20.9% for the period April to June, show figures released Friday by the National Institute of Statistics.

Economists polled by Reuters had expected that the unemployment rate in the fourth largest economy in the euro area, the highest in the European Union, remains unchanged from the second quarter.

Banks haunt the G20 Finance

European leaders are putting added pressure on banks to force them to recapitalize and enable them to withstand greater losses than expected on the sovereign debt of the most fragile countries in the euro area.

While being held in Paris the meeting of G20 Finance Friday and Saturday, the market hopes to see political leaders overcome their differences to meet a debt crisis that threatens the stability of the euro area and the strength of the European banking system.

"For now, investors give them the benefit of the doubt," said Patrick Moonen, strategist at ING Investment Management, in a note entitled "Good luck to political leaders."

Pending the outcome of the meeting of finance ministers and central bankers of the G20, the surveillance by Fitch notes several banks – including Barclays, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank or Societe Generale – show the difficulties faced by banks today.Difficulties that have driven the last weekend the French-Belgian Dexia decommissioning.

In exchange, the banks Friday was the only sector to finish down in Europe (-0.59%).

The President of the Eurogroup Jean-Claude Juncker reiterated Friday that several European banks needed to be recapitalized.

The crucial step remains the European Council of 23 October at which Germany and France will unveil their proposals for overcoming the crisis. Both countries said they already sealed their agreements without specifying its content.

"We have never been so close to a solution (to the debt crisis, Ed). But this is not done," warns David Thebault, head of quantitative trading at Global Equities."There is concern that the market takes it badly if there is no announcement of precise and detailed plan on October 23 and November 3 (G20 Cannes, Ed).I remain cautious. "

The Franco-German proposals will include a bank recapitalization and strengthening the response capacity of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF).

SIX MONTHS to recapitalize

In preparation for the European Council, the European Banking Authority (EBA) provides a new set of stress tests of the banking sector.

Stricter than the previous year this time should include a valuation of sovereign debt, particularly that of Greece, at market value, and the EBA should require banks a minimum capital ratio "hard" ("core tier one") of 9% and not only by 7%.

According to European sources, the weakest banks will then have six months to build up their capital.

"The only real justification for recapitalization would be to reassure the markets," said Laurent Quignon, head of economics at BNP Paribas bank.

"But in terms of economic fundamentals, there is no more reason than all the banks are recapitalized today than yesterday."

According to Goldman Sachs, at least 50 out of 91 European banks could fail the new stress tests, indicating a need for 139 billion euros in fresh capital.

The terms of a bank recapitalization on the Old Continent will be the subject of intense negotiations from Monday, said President of the Eurogroup.

"LESS DIVIDENDS, BONUS UNDER"

The French government has already said that the State was ready to help banks, but for now it emphasizes the strengthening of capital by private capital, unlike what was done in 2008 and 2009 under the plan to help French banks after the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

"Banks will have to recapitalize on the basis of their results by distributing less dividends and less bonus," said Friday morning the Minister of Economy Baroin, Europe 1.

"If they can not, they will do in the markets.If markets are not sufficient, they will find partners and, ultimately limit, there will be an opportunity for European coordination. "

"For France, I want to say that I am confident in the ability of our banks to raise their profits and all means at their disposal to strengthen their capital base," added the Prime Minister Francois Fillon, in the afternoon during the parliamentary days of the UMP.

In line with the German position, France has already ruled out recourse to EFSF to recapitalize its banks.

"Policies must resolve the dilemma between the private shareholders of banks that do not want to hear about dilution and the market which requires recapitalization," said Christophe Nijdam, an analyst at AlphaValue.

"The calls for recapitalization by the European authorities can be cons-productive to the extent that they contribute to fuel concern for all banks," warns Laurent Quignon, at BNP Paribas. "What can paradoxically make raising capital more difficult for institutions that need it."

Deutsche Bank, which would need to raise 9 billion euros according to sources, has made it clear that it would avoid any forced recapitalization.

Brussels, Paris and Luxembourg launched the dismantling of Dexia

Belgium, France and Luxembourg have Monday morning launched the plan to dismantle the Franco-Belgian bank Dexia, the first European victim size of the debt crisis in the euro zone, after a day and a night of marathon negotiations.

At the end of a board of about noon, the directors of the former world number one funding of local authorities have approved the nationalization of Belgium Belgian activities of Dexia, Dexia Bank Belgium (DBB) specializing in retail banking.

Belgium will pay to do this four billion euros.

"This sale will be finalized shortly," advised the bank."It will enable Dexia to reduce its need for short-term financing of over 14 billion euros, will improve the solvency of the group of more than 200 basis points and reduce its portfolio of non-strategic assets of 18 billion euros. "

Matignon has in turn made in a statement that France would lean financing activities of French local authorities of Dexia Municipal Agency (DexMA), French securitization structure owned by Dexia Credit Local, the Caisse des Depots (CDC).

A consortium of funding for French local authorities will also be created and established by the CDC and the Postal Bank, also indicate the services of the French Prime Minister Francois Fillon.

As part of the new rescue plan for Dexia, already saved from bankruptcy in 2008 with a public bailout of more than six billion euros, Belgium, France and Luxembourg have signed to provide 90 billion euros government guarantees to ensure the financing needs of Dexia.

NOT FOREVER IN DBB

"States have agreed to divide this guarantee in proportions similar to those of 2008, 60.5% for Belgium, 36.5% for France and 3% for Luxembourg," reported Matignon.

Belgian Prime Minister Yves Leterme said at a news conference that Dexia would immediately pay a premium of 50 basis points in return for these guarantees.

The Belgian Finance Minister Didier Reynders said in that same press conference that the Belgian state, however, did not intend to stay forever in the capital of DBB.

Sunday morning before the meeting of a special board of Dexia, the French Prime Minister Francois Fillon met with his Belgian counterpart in Brussels and the Luxembourg Finance Minister, Luc Frieden, to find a agreement on modalities and participation of all three states.

"The three governments agreed to submit a proposal to the board that fits perfectly with the objectives of the Belgian Government, which involves taking control of Dexia Bank Belgium, secure and make it a bank very safe," he Yves Leterme said Sunday on Belgian television.?

The challenge for the three states participating in the plan was to ensure that aid does not come to Dexia worsen the situation of public finances.

The rating agency Moody's had also increased pressure on the Belgian camp Friday night: it has placed the sovereign rating of Aa1 kingdom under surveillance by explaining, among other things, will assess the costs and liabilities that the state could take Dexia in supporting.(See)

Didier Reynders has reported on this during the press conference that the debt / gross domestic product (GDP) of Belgium would remain below 100% despite the agreement of Dexia and said that the European authorities of the competition had been informed of the plan.

Dexia, the rating action has been suspended since Thursday, is at 9 am press conference to present the plan to dismantle the bank as it was approved by the directors.