The economy of Hungary will switch into recession this year, says OECD, which urges the government of Prime Minister Viktor Orban to pass a financial agreement with international organizations and to take further measures to reduce the budget deficit.
Echoing the European Commission, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development also takes note of "controversial measures taken by the Hungarian government (which) have made exacerbate the uncertainty on the confidence of businesses, households and markets. "
"Overall, the economy should be in recession in early 2012 before a modest recovery in the second half of this year because of a slight upturn in confidence and improved financial and economic conditions worldwide, "the OECD wrote in a report released Tuesday.
The OECD expects GDP to contract by 0.6% Hungarian, and this year a growth of 1.1% in 2013. Budapest projected growth of 0.5% in 2012.
The Hungarian authorities have two main challenges, says OECD: stabilizing the economy and restore growth in the long term structural reforms.
"An agreement with multilateral organizations to help restore confidence and facilitate the necessary reorganization of public finances," says the OECD. "It also would ease the burden of debt in foreign currencies by stabilizing the exchange rate."
To stabilize the forint, which fell over 20% since mid-2008, to 292 per euro on Tuesday, the Orban government wants to conclude a funding agreement with the European Union and the International Monetary Fund by the end of the second quarter. But he objects to certain conditions set by the European Commission to open discussions.
EU officials believe that the deficit in Hungary could reach 3.6% of GDP in 2013 if Budapest is not taking new provisions, a view espoused by the OECD.
"Despite a relatively favorable fiscal position, the recent deterioration of the underlying balance requires additional efforts, beyond the measures planned for 2012," says the OECD.
The Organization also recommends that "in 2013 replacing the windfall tax on banks by taxing less distorting."
Changes to the law governing the central bank, including certain appointment procedures "derogate clearly best practice", also says the OECD.
The central bank independence must be guaranteed in accordance with international obligations of Hungary, said she.
The Indian airline Kingfisher Airlines Tuesday seemed about to collapse under the weight of its debts, flight cancellations are being multiplied for almost a week and the resignation of Drivers accumulating tens.
Vijay Mallya, the liquor magnate who controls the airline and gave the same name as his famous brand of Indian beer, said he was determined to save Kingfisher, blaming its financial difficulties with the freezing of bank accounts by the tax.
There is in India no legal requirement for companies to declare bankruptcy. Kingfisher, an Airbus customer, so could the curtain down overnight due to lack of funding, warn analysts.
"If they can not find fresh capital, of course, they are condemned. They have the money or for maintenance or for wages or for anything else, "he told Reuters Lillaney Sharan, an analyst specializing in aviation for Angel Broking. The action
Kingfisher has plunged nearly 20% Tuesday, the day the company was called by management of Indian Civil Aviation to explain the cancellation of more than 100 of its flights during the four days
. At the end of the meeting, the Indian regulator said he had obtained guarantees of Kingfisher on bank financing and the action has erased all its losses
……. .. Kingfisher, which last year was still the second Indian airline, has reached any profits since its inception in 2005, suffering from the flew e fuel prices and fierce competition from low-cost airlines.
Indian market yet fast-growing, nearly 20% in 2011, the turnover of Kingfisher declined since late 2011.
The group acknowledges a debt of $ 1.3 billion (984 million), and lack of liquidity, it no longer pays the salaries of its employees and accumulates unpaid tax, adding, according Kotak Institutional Equities, $ 477 million in debt.
The action Kingfisher plunged nearly 60% since January 2011, melting the market value of the group at $ 269 million.
News reports bring to 300 the number of pilots who have resigned since last September. The Mint newspaper said, citing a government official, also reports that Kingfisher will return two Airbus A320 to companies leasing aircraft because of defaults.
According to the latest data from Airbus orders over Kingfisher deal 32 single-aisle A320 family aircraft, 20 A330s, five long-haul A350 and five A380 super-jumbo.
PagesJaunes announced Wednesday that its board would propose as an exceptional pass the dividend for 2011, after registering a decline in its revenues and profit margins last year.
Heavily in debt, the publisher of printed directories and online, the site owner geolocation Mappy, saw its net cash flow to fall by over 20% last year, penalized by including the rising cost of its debt.
The full year 2011, its turnover stood at 1.1 billion euros, in line with market expectations according to Thomson Reuters I / B / E / S, This represents a decrease of 2.1% over the previous year.
Its gross operating margin (GOM) totaled 493.1 million euros, down 4.8%.
The group said it expects for 2011 a decline of about 2% of its turnover and a GOM between 485 and 500 million euros, an objective that was lowered in July to reflect impact on its business of social movements before the summer.
For 2012, the group says aimed to stabilize its revenue after two years of decline, thanks to the growth of its business on the internet which should represent 60% of its total turnover.
It also anticipates a GOM between 470 and 485 million euros.
European shares opened slightly lower Tuesday after Moody's decision to lower the perspective of the AAA rating of certain European countries, including France and the UK , and lower that of six states, including Spain, Italy and Portugal.
The Moody's decision weighs on market sentiment already dominated by concerns about the ability of Athens to carry out drastic austerity measures required by its lenders in exchange for a new aid plan.
"It is clear that (the decision by Moody's) do not change the deal, but they come at a time when investors are asking questions about risky assets, following a period of strong growth" said Chris Weston, institutional trader at IG Markets.
The euro and British pound lost ground against the dollar after this announcement, as the yen after a new policy easing by the Bank of Japan.
The day will be full of economic indicators including the German ZEW index and industrial production in the eurozone, as well as new auctions of sovereign debt in Europe.
In the afternoon, investors expect sales to particular details of the U.S. in January and business inventories for December.
The Paris CAC 40 index yields 0.3% to 3,374.97 points in early trade, the German Dax lost 0.1%, the UK FTSE 0.16% and the pan-European index STOXX 50 was down 0.18%.
Bank stocks in Europe (-0.57%) are among the largest declines, with insurers (-0.53%) and commodities (-0.8%).
In Paris, BNP Paribas lost 2.7%, largest drop in the CAC 40, followed by Credit Agricole (-1.64%) and Societe Generale (-1.5%).
Alcatel-Lucent continues to rise they began Friday after the publication of its first profit since 2006, and earns 4% plus increase in the CAC.
L'Oreal takes 2.1% after posting results slightly exceeded expectations, marked by a recovery in margins, and have said "well armed (…) for another year of growth in turnover and results. "
The French car market fell by 20.7% in January, falling to its lowest level for 14 years, the disappearance of the last scrappage sluggish economy and the sign for the sector a difficult first half. According to figures released Wednesday by the Committee of French Automobile Manufacturers (CCFA), registrations in the Hexagon emerged last month at 147,143 units, almost 39,000 less that 'in January 2011. "This is a lowest since 1998. The bad controls are not in December registrations in January (…) The first half would be difficult," said Francois Roudier Wednesday , spokesman for the CCFA. Sales of light trucks fared better, but nevertheless signed the first decline for several months with a 2.5% decline in gross (-7% on CJO) to ; 32,707 units. "This is one more indicator of the economic context, an additional amber light came on," said Flavien Neuvy, Director of the Cetelem of the car. "The trend is bad for sales to individuals, but the climate gradient will also weigh on sales to companies," he added. Around 24:30, the values are still car oriented upward, catching up after several sessions of declines. The European index sector is 2.6%, 2.1% Volkswagen, PSA and Renault 2.9% 3.4%. VERY GOOD MONTH FOR VOLKSWAGEN AND NISSAN The CCFA said that the builders who have benefited from the scrappage scheme have had their registrations plummeted. In addition, the prospect of the release of new models during the years attracted the attention of future customers, it adds. Car sales of PSA Peugeot Citroen last month fell 27.4%, while those of the Renault group tumbled 32.7% (-36.9% for the diamond brand and -10.5% for the low cost brand Dacia). In a statement, Renault blamed the decline in the ongoing renewal of its range, including the arrival of the Clio 4 in the fall. The Group nevertheless confirmed its target of a French market share close to 26.1% in 2011. Next PSA, Peugeot has also continued to be affected by pending the arrival of the 208, scheduled for spring. Other general, the Fiat brand saw its sales in France dropped by 40.9%. In contrast, German Volkswagen still has shot out of the game: Group registrations increased by 18.2%, and the only VW to 26.8% with a wide offensive in terms of products and prices. Nissan's partner Renault, meanwhile saw its sales under its own brand to increase by 19%, which allowed him to exceed the month Opel (GM group) by volume. Sign that sales may remain low for at least several months, PSA Peugeot Citroen announced Tuesday that production would be stopped a week at Mulhouse and Sochaux early March to "adapt the stocks at the request commercial ". Both sites, however, produce some best-sellers like the Peugeot 308 and 3008 and the Citroën C4 and DS4. PSA and Renault have said in recent weeks to expect a difficult environment in 2012. They expect a decline of at least 3% of the European market this year and down 5 to 8% of the French market.
The rapid increase of the debt crisis in the euro area threatens the credit ratings of all European states, warned Sunday the U.S. rating agency Moody's. Moody's in New York.
In a "special comment" on European countries published Sunday, Moody's says it still considers that the euro area will maintain its unity without any fault as that of Greece, but notes that even this' scenario 'positive' carries consequences very negative for the notes "of European countries. The U.S. rating agency, recently warned that France could lose its "triple A" allowing it to borrow at favorable rates in the markets, and clearly indicates that no country, even among those considered most solids, such as the Netherlands, Austria, Finland or Germany, is immune to a lowering of note.
Given the events of recent weeks, Moody's said have to consider "the likelihood of a scenario even more negative." She said "the probability of multiple failures (…) States in the euro area is no longer negligible" and continues to grow in the absence of solution to the crisis. If this probability were to materialize, it would increase the likelihood that one or more countries leave the euro area, the agency said, for whom this scenario of a "fragmentation of the euro" would have "negative repercussions for all countries the euro area and EU. " For Moody's, the situation is constantly evolving, and new "shocks" (new rescue or rising interest rates which states borrow) while policy makers define new measures are "likely to lead to changes of note in case by case "for some countries.
Democrats and Republicans are unable to agree on a plan to reduce U.S. debt, which has just reached 15,000 billion. The reasons and consequences of this blockage. The President of the United States Barack Obama
The debt crisis in Europe has almost been forgotten that the U.S. also face their great difficulties on their debt. European stock markets closed sharply lower on Thursday. Paris (-3.4%, below 2900 points), Frankfurt (-3.5%) and London (-2.6%) fell sharply in the wake of Wall Street lost more than 2% at the end of the afternoon. Democrats and Republicans should agree on a plan to save 1,200 billion over ten years to hold their huge debt. But after two months of negotiations, they were still far from an agreement a few hours from the end of negotiations scheduled for Monday evening.
Congress had in effect established a commission to decide on a plan to reduce debt. Composed of twelve members of Congress – six Republicans and six Democrats – the "super-committee" was intended to relieve an abysmal debt that comes to exceed 15,000 billion (you can see it evolve in real time on the www . usdebtclock.org). The six Democrats proposed a plan for 2900 includes 1,300 billion billion tax increase, the six Republicans on the other hand opted for a plan of 2,200 billion euros, with "only" 200 billion of tax increases. Without ever reaching a consensus.
Why the lock?
This blockage occurs less than a year of presidential elections scheduled for November 2012.
The Maritime Alps, Savoie, Haute-Savoie, the Vendee, the Channel, the Rhone, the Haut-Rhin, Bas-Rhin, the Gold Coast, the Marne and Haute-Marne are willing to experiment with the requirement of 7 hours per week for the RSA Beneficiaries. According to Nicolas Sarkozy, it is their "restore dignity". Nicolas Sarkozy and Roselyne Bachelot visiting Bordeaux November 15, 2011
Solidarity Minister Roselyne Bachelot on Wednesday presented the new contracts for seven hours to eleven recipients of RSA representatives of councils willing to experiment with this device, it was learned from the department. Departments candidates to experiment with these contracts, reserved to the people furthest from the labor market, are the Maritime Alps, Savoie, Haute-Savoie, the Vendee, the Channel, the Rhone, the Upper Rhine, the Lower Rhine, the Gold Coast, the Marne and Haute-Marne.Tuesday in Bordeaux, President Nicolas Sarkozy said that the contracts were intended to "restore dignity" to the beneficiaries of RSA.
To believe an important elected PASOK in power, Prime Minister George Papandreou resigned after agreement on a transitional government will be concluded in Greece, possibly as early as Sunday evening.
Objectives, duration and the choice of the directing personality similar government must be acquired before the start of the power of the current prime minister, said on national television MP Telemachos Hitiris.
"Just wait for the announcement of the (selection) Prime Minister in the cabinet. Everything must be done in the day, otherwise it will be hell tomorrow," he warned.
Caterpillar reported Monday a record turnover and a 44% jump in profit in the third quarter, well above analysts' expectations.
With demand strong, the world's largest earth-moving machinery and equipment for the mining industry posted net earnings of $ 1.14 billion, or $ 1.71 per share, against 792 million, or 1.22 dollar per share, a year earlier.Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters I / B / E / S on average expected $ 1.54 per share.
In pre-market, the title earned 3% after these announcements.
The turnover stood at 15.72 billion dollars between July and September, up 41%, the group called a record, as the market anticipated 15.03 billion dollars.
For all of 2011, Caterpillar said he expected sales to about $ 58 billion, including its recent acquisition of Bacyrus, whereas previously anticipated sales of between 56 and 58 billion.
Earnings per share are now expected to 6.75 dollars for the year, on top of an initial forecast range from 6.25 to 6.75 dollars.
For 2012, Caterpillar expects its sales climbed 10% to 20%.
