Despite the strains imposed by Greece on the euro area, Italy was able to borrow Monday medium and long term 5.25 billion euros expected without any increase in interest rates. Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti presented in Rome on 4 December 2011 a new austerity plan of 20 billion euros by 2014
Italy has a bond issue passed Monday by taking test 5.25 billion euros in the medium and long term interest rates steady at almost three years, despite strong investor concerns for the euro area due to blockage policy in Greece.
The total demand of investors amounted to 9 billion euros, allowing the Treasury, which were up between 3.5 and 5.25 billion euros, reaching its maximum target, announced the Bank of Italy . As part of its main issue, the Italian Treasury has raised 3.5 billion of securities maturing in 2015 at a rate of 3.91% against 3.89% in the last similar operation on April 12. He also issued 542 million of securities due 2020 at a rate of 5.33%, 651 million of securities due 2022 at a rate of 5.66% and € 557 million of securities due 2025 at a rate of 5.90%.
The Bank of Italy does not compare the rates of these bonds with those recorded during previous shows. "The show went well overall," said Elia Lattuga, bond strategist in the bank UniCredit. "The maximum was reached," a "particularly good result" that the market was marked "by difficulties this morning," added Chiara Manenti Intesa Sanpaolo.
The political stalemate in Greece, which still has no government more than a week after the parliamentary elections, has plunged European stock markets Monday and caused a fever in the bond market.
Despite the success of this program by Rome, the Italian market also remained very tense. Secondary market, where exchange debt already issued, the rates in Italy were part of ten years at 5.724% to 5.495% cons 10:25 GMT Friday night while the Milan Stock Exchange 2.90% let go.
Friday, Italy, which faced since mid-April to a sharp rebound in rates after a strong expansion in the first quarter, recorded a great success on the debt market by placing 10 billion shares to three months and one year at declining rates.
China cut Saturday the amounts that banks must hold in reserve, thereby increasing their lending capacity of 400 billion yuan (48 billion euros), a measure taken to e avoid the risk of a sharp slowdown in the second largest economy.
People's Bank of China reduced the reserve ratio by 50 basis points, bringing it to 20.0%. This new amount will be effective next Friday May 18
This is the third decline in six months of the required reserve ratio, a decision just one day after the publication of macroeconomic data for the month of April have concerned investors, including the numbers of industrial production.
Economists had indeed thought that the growth rate of gross domestic product (GDP) of 8.1% over one year was a record low and that the activity would be departing in the second quarter. Considering the recent statistics, this scenario does not seem to confirm.
"The central bank should cut its reserve requirement ratio after the first quarter. She missed the best possible time, "said Dong Xian'an, chief economist at Peking First Advisory
." A drop TODAY 'Today will have a lesser impact. The Chinese economy will therefore be more vulnerable to weak global economic conditions and a slowing Chinese economy will in turn have a negative impact on the global recovery. "..
…… "The uncertainties surrounding the global and Chinese economies increase," said Dong Xian'an
… …… Economists estimate that China's growth should be 8% per year to absorb the annual flow of new entrants to the labor market and rural land left to find work in the factory
. The central bank announced its first drop in the ratio of bank reserves for three years on November 30, lowering the rate of 50 basis points.
According to a Reuters poll conducted in January, economists estimate that the central bank will reduce the reserve ratio of 200 basis points in total in 2012, bringing it to 19%.
Moreover, despite the inflationary risks, some believe that lower interest rates is not excluded.
"The problem is that loan demand from companies is very low, therefore the lower reserve requirement ratio is not as effective as lower rates of intere ; t, because a decrease in the ratio of reserves does not change the cost of loans, "said Liu Junyu (China Merchants Bank).
"If the economy continues to be hesitant, it is likely that the government will opt for a lower interest rate."
United Parcel Services (UPS) agreed to pay nearly 5.2 billion euros to buy Dutch rival TNT Express, announced Monday the two groups, an operation that will allow the gen ; American ant-mail and logistics to gain strength in Europe.
TNT said its management board and supervisory board would support unanimously the offer of 9.50 euros per share, higher than 0.50 euro to the initial offer submitted in February.
The largest shareholder group, PostNL, which holds 29.8% stake, has also expressed support for the operation, which will create a global leader displaying 45 billion euros turnover.
The joint statement from both groups noted that the offer represents a premium of 53.7% over the closing price on February 16, the day before the announcement of the opening of discussions between the two groups.
UPS, already world number one, had long been interested in TNT in order to develop in Europe, including Britain, France and Germany.
The tender offer ends years of speculation about the future of the Dutch group, divided by PostNL, the Dutch post and the year listed separately last.
Faced with declining profits and the unfavorable business outlook for 2012, management of TNT was subjected to pressure from shareholders "activists" such as investment funds Jana Partners and Alberta Investment Management.
Friday, UPS had said further discussions "constructive" with TNT, four weeks after the latter's rejection of its initial offer to 9.00 euros per share.
The U.S. group said Monday that the purchase of TNT will have a positive impact on its financial results for the first year and is sure to get all the official permits for the conduct out.
If the benefits of U.S. distributors to appear this week are as unimpressive as the results published so far companies, keeping Wall Street at the height of nine months will probably be difficult to justify.
Specialists believe that stock market investing in the U.S. market may resist a further increase, even with an agreement in the Greek case Monday and indicators confirming that the recovery is underway to United States.
Trading will resume on Tuesday, the markets are closed Monday for President's Day.
For the year 2012 was less than two months and the benchmark fund managers, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index was up over 8%. It is already higher than what many analysts were predicting the end of the year.
The index ended Friday at 1,361 points, its highest level since May 2011. In December, analysts polled by Reuters estimated that the index would end from 2012 to 1340 points.
If the index passed beyond 1370, it would be at its highest since June 2008, to its level before the collapse of Lehman Brothers, which took place in September 2008.
As for Dow Jones, he approaches the psychological level of 13,000 points and the Nasdaq Composite, that of 3000 points.
OPPORTUNITY TO PURCHASE
At the NYSE, 85% to 90% of the shares are treated above their 50-day moving average, said Bruce Zaro at Delta Global Asset Management in Boston. This is normally a sign that the market is overbought.
Bruce Zaro does not exclude a decrease of the S & P in the region of 1260-1270 in the short term.
Some experts, however, a passage above 1370 would be a buying opportunity.
"I'm kind of on the sidelines waiting to see it, but I'm down from there if it snaps," said Stephen Massocca, at Wedbush Morgan in San Francisco.
The percentage of companies that have published better than expected quarterly results is 64%, according to Thomson Reuters data, 404 companies have already published their accounts . This percentage has certainly improved since the beginning of the period of publication of accounts, but it is lower than 70% the last four quarters.
Among the major retailers will announce their quarterly profits this week include Wal-Mart and Home Depot.
Apart from the results and the Greek case, which should find a solution Monday, few indicators will be published this week: home sales new and old, consumer confidence according to the University of Michigan and registrations Weekly jobless.
To be continued as the general assembly of Apple Thursday and accounts of the first fiscal quarter of Hewkett-Packard on Wednesday.
The CBOE volatility index, also called fear index, fell 7.5% Friday, to 17.78. It is below the level of 25 for over two months, suggesting that investors are less worried about stock market prospects.
The Maritime Alps, Savoie, Haute-Savoie, the Vendee, the Channel, the Rhone, the Haut-Rhin, Bas-Rhin, the Gold Coast, the Marne and Haute-Marne are willing to experiment with the requirement of 7 hours per week for the RSA Beneficiaries. According to Nicolas Sarkozy, it is their "restore dignity". Nicolas Sarkozy and Roselyne Bachelot visiting Bordeaux November 15, 2011
Solidarity Minister Roselyne Bachelot on Wednesday presented the new contracts for seven hours to eleven recipients of RSA representatives of councils willing to experiment with this device, it was learned from the department. Departments candidates to experiment with these contracts, reserved to the people furthest from the labor market, are the Maritime Alps, Savoie, Haute-Savoie, the Vendee, the Channel, the Rhone, the Upper Rhine, the Lower Rhine, the Gold Coast, the Marne and Haute-Marne.Tuesday in Bordeaux, President Nicolas Sarkozy said that the contracts were intended to "restore dignity" to the beneficiaries of RSA.
Caterpillar reported Monday a record turnover and a 44% jump in profit in the third quarter, well above analysts' expectations.
With demand strong, the world's largest earth-moving machinery and equipment for the mining industry posted net earnings of $ 1.14 billion, or $ 1.71 per share, against 792 million, or 1.22 dollar per share, a year earlier.Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters I / B / E / S on average expected $ 1.54 per share.
In pre-market, the title earned 3% after these announcements.
The turnover stood at 15.72 billion dollars between July and September, up 41%, the group called a record, as the market anticipated 15.03 billion dollars.
For all of 2011, Caterpillar said he expected sales to about $ 58 billion, including its recent acquisition of Bacyrus, whereas previously anticipated sales of between 56 and 58 billion.
Earnings per share are now expected to 6.75 dollars for the year, on top of an initial forecast range from 6.25 to 6.75 dollars.
For 2012, Caterpillar expects its sales climbed 10% to 20%.
The rating agency Moody's scratched on the first "triple A" French, by giving three months to assess its stable outlook, on a background of slower growth, crisis in the euro area and calls for a recapitalization of banks.
A nearly six months of the presidential election, the French authorities have once again assured Tuesday that they would do anything to keep the maximum score, which allows the country to finance at low cost, and promised new measures if needed.
But their room for maneuver seems limited because growth such as trust are affected globally in a context of anxiety in financial markets.
Bank stocks have fallen to the Paris Stock Exchange after the announcement of Moody's, while the yield on the French debt and insurance against the risk of default (CDS) rose, the yield spread between French and German debt (spread ) reaching a high for 16 years.
Moody's does not mention specifically the possibility of a perspective "negative" on the Aaa French, but if it were to lower the perspective, a downgrade could occur over the next two years.
"The 'triple A' is not in danger because we will answer these and we will be even ahead of the goals of deficit reduction," said French Finance Minister, Baroin, on France 2."If necessary, we will take steps for the appointment."
"We will make every effort not to be degraded," he added, noting that "we still have enough tax loopholes, if necessary, we will remove them."
GROWTH flu
The rating agency said in a statement: "In the next three months, Moody's will review and assess the stable outlook against the government's progress in the implementation of these measures (fiscal consolidation-Ed), taking into account all economic and market potential negative. "
Moody's also refers to the likely increase in the French contribution to the rescue of Greece and the prospect of a recapitalization of banks in the country, to which the State may need to participate.
"The deterioration in the debt figures and the possible emergence of new financial commitments put pressure on the stable outlook of the Aaa rating of the state" French, says the agency.
Engine of French public deficit, the country's growth next year should be much lower than the 1.75% forecast by the government, which may influence the path that should lead France to a deficit of 4 , 5% of GDP in 2012 and 3% in 2013, after 5.7% this year.
According to the survey conducted by Reuters with a score of economists, and they expect an average growth of 1.0% next year.
Baroin has for the first time said Tuesday that the objective of 1.75% was "probably too high."
Economists polled by Reuters Tuesday, believe that the economic downturn is the first threat to France and its sovereign rating, a threat reinforced by the possibility of further government intervention to resolve the crisis in the eurozone and strengthen the banks.
"The Triple A French is a little on the hot seat, especially if the French economy was facing a shock much deeper than what we anticipated," said Jean-Christophe Caffet, an economist at Natixis.
For Gilles Moec, an economist at Deutsche Bank, "the issue of growth is most important because it constitutes the core of the macroeconomic strategy of France.""The engine stalled, forcing more likely to act on the structural deficit."
Philippe Waechter, director of economic research at Natixis Asset Management, for its part said that "if growth is not expected robustness, the objective of reducing the budget deficit will not."
Jean-Louis Mourier, economist at Aurel Leven, said meanwhile that "bank recapitalization would impact the debt but the real problem is the trajectory of public finances and therefore growth."
PUZZLE AND EUROPEAN PRESIDENTIAL
Moody's notes that the level of debt of France is among the highest Aaa rated countries, while remaining content with a relatively low weight of the interests of debt to government revenue.
But the ability to fund high levels of debt "is based on investor confidence in the government's ability and willingness to cope with unexpected challenges," the agency said.
A situation even more critical that the chronic current account of France requires it to obtain financing from foreign investors.
François Fillon on Tuesday urged members to refrain from bidding on the draft budget for 2012, including the examination begins on Tuesday, with specific reference to the warning from Moody's.
"In this context, the budget debate must be exemplary," said the head of government before the UMP group, reported a number of members present at the meeting.
A weakening of the "triple A" French further complicate the resolution of the crisis in the eurozone, France, with Germany being the main contributor to the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), the European support fund, whose rating depends part of those of its contributors.
Beyond the EFSF, the European dynamic could be profoundly affected if the second largest economy in the euro area clinched the best student, Germany.
The threat of a possible negative watch placement of Aaa, should also limit a little more room for maneuver of the candidates in the presidential election of April-May
The Socialist candidate Francois Hollande and his family have announced that their action, if they win the presidency, will be dictated by the need to preserve the confidence of creditors of France.
Banks must be better capitalized to avoid an escalation of the crisis that would be caused by a financial collapse, said Sunday the German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble on the ZDF television, adding that banks no longer trust the to each other.
"We need better regulation and better capitalization of banks," he said.
"Everyone will not like this, but it is the best way there is no escalation of the crisis caused by a collapse of the banking system."
"The cause of this crisis is too much debt, but we must fight the danger of contagion. We must simply recognize that banks currently have more trust towards each other, so the market Banking is not working as it should.The best way to combat this is a better recapitalization. "
Wall Street opened up Friday, contrary to what foreshadowed the future, which indicated a first down and then open with little variation.
Some thought that profit-taking would arise from the opening given the gains accumulated in four sessions. If the opening movement continues, the S & P 500 is on track louse save his best week since early July.
For now, he earns 0.5% to 1215.33. The Dow Jones ahead by 0.5% to 11,488.73. The Nasdaq Composite Index is 0.3% to 2615.08.
Fellows prepare for the publication of the index of consumer confidence published by the University of Michigan. It is intended to 56.5 against 55.7 in August.
Boeing gained 1% to 64.98 dollars.Air France-KLM announced plan to order 110 aircraft divided equally between Airbus and the American manufacturer.
Yahoo takes 1.5% to 15.11 dollars. According to the media, the private equity fund Silver Lake is considering an offer.
Global stock markets have tumbled again Monday, frightened by the event of bankruptcy of Greece. Paris dropped more than 4%, ending at its lowest level since April 2009. French banks have lost more than 10% of their value. The trading floor in Frankfurt
Global stock markets tumbled again Monday, maddened by the assumption of more and more openly discussed a bankruptcy of Greece despite the soothing statements from European officials.
"The events taking place in Europe affect a growing market with a flurry of distressing information," noted Patrick O'Hare, Financial Analysis Site Briefing. "The markets anticipate scenarios very dark and do not want to remember that the darkest assumptions," added Yves Marc, Global Equities."We remain in a market in flux guided by fear," added Franklin Pichard, Director Barclays stock.
All European stock markets ended the day deep in red, Paris, Milan and Madrid, ending even the lowest for two and a half years. Briefly falling over 5% in early afternoon in Paris because of particular concerns for French banks, under threat of a deterioration in their rating by the rating agency Moody's.
European shares, which had already been a Black Friday, continued to plunge. In closing, Paris was unscrewed from 4.03% to 3.89% Milan, Madrid from 3.41%. Frankfurt yielded 2.27% and 1.63% in London. In Asia, Tokyo ended down 2.31% and 4.21% of Hong Kong.
Wall Street resisted in the middle of the session: to 16:00, the Dow Jones that yielded 0.75%.But the trend remained fragile and could accelerate the losses from one moment to another, stressed brokers.
The hypothesis of a failure of Greece, or even leaving the euro area, continues to gain ground and influence markets. "European officials are trying to take a more firm vis-à-vis Greece, in front of a ras-le-bol growing against the bailouts in Europe and North against austerity in the south "in the region, said Michael Hewson, an analyst at CMC Markets.
This weekend, the German Minister of Economy Philipp Rösler has not ruled out a bankruptcy ordered Greece to save the single currency before the department will remember come Monday that Athens had its place in the euro .
The Commission President José Manuel Barroso and German Chancellor Angela Merkel in turn tried to restore calm by ensuring, in a joint statement after a meeting in Berlin, the EFSF, in its strengthened would be operational by the end of the month.
The European Financial Stability Fund created last year, bringing relief to struggling countries, must in particular be allowed to buy government bonds on the secondary market. Athens, which is desperately trying to reassure its creditors, has pledged Sunday to take additional steps to save $ 2 billion in 2011.
The European Commission has welcomed the announcements and said that the donor countries meeting in a Troika-European Commission, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund-would return to the country "in the coming days." The atmosphere had deteriorated markedly since the unexpected departure of the country of a Troika mission in early September.
Bank stocks, especially in France, have been particularly turbulent Monday, weighed down by their exposure to sovereign debt and fears about their solvency. BNP Paribas has unscrewed from 12.35%, 10.64% of Crédit Agricole and Societe Generale of 10.75%.
"Whatever the scenario Greek and supplies to go, French banks have the means to cope," he tried to reassure the French Minister of Economy and Finance, Baroin, reiterating a message delivered in the morning by the governor of the Banque de France Christian Noyer.
"We are ready to provide liquidity to banks requested" to "unlimited" and "fixed" for the euro area, for his part reiterated the governor of the European Central Bank (ECB) Jean-Claude Trichet, in his as a spokesman for the group of major central banks.
The week promises to be crucial. Wednesday, an emergency meeting of the IMF to be held on Greece and the finance ministers of the euro area and European Union will meet Friday and Saturday in Poland to try to complete the second level of support Greece nearly 160 billion euros, promised the country July 21.
However, the markets seem to doubt the capacity of policy to agree and thus to regain control the crisis, especially after the G7 meeting on Friday and Saturday, which has resulted in "no action" according to an analyst.
Finance ministers and central bank governors of the seven richest countries in the world (G7) have simply promised Friday to Marseille to respond "strong" and "coordinated" to the crisis but without specifying their strategy.
Considered a value at risk in this context, the euro was heavily abused: Monday he touched its lowest level since mid-February against the dollar and 10 years against the yen.
On the debt market, the rates of German and U.S. bonds, safe havens, were at their historic low.Conversely, interest rates have soared Monday in a securities issuance of public debt in Italy.
